Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.003293 0.003453 0.003616 0.003796 0.003987 0.004186 0.004409
2025-06-15 0.002971 0.003204 0.003452 0.003735 0.004051 0.004393 0.004794
2025-06-22 0.002764 0.003037 0.003335 0.003684 0.004085 0.004534 0.005078
2025-06-29 0.002637 0.002941 0.003279 0.003686 0.004165 0.004715 0.005400
2025-07-06 0.002466 0.002783 0.003140 0.003578 0.004103 0.004719 0.005504
2025-07-13 0.002381 0.002717 0.003102 0.003581 0.004167 0.004868 0.005784
2025-07-20 0.002333 0.002690 0.003105 0.003631 0.004285 0.005086 0.006155
2025-07-27 0.002248 0.002614 0.003046 0.003599 0.004299 0.005169 0.006355
2025-08-03 0.002176 0.002550 0.002996 0.003576 0.004320 0.005259 0.006566
2025-08-10 0.002108 0.002489 0.002947 0.003549 0.004333 0.005339 0.006761
2025-08-17 0.002084 0.002480 0.002962 0.003604 0.004451 0.005558 0.007156
2025-08-24 0.002031 0.002433 0.002928 0.003592 0.004481 0.005658 0.007388
2025-08-31 0.001973 0.002378 0.002881 0.003564 0.004488 0.005729 0.007584
2025-09-07 0.001906 0.002310 0.002815 0.003508 0.004455 0.005743 0.007697
2025-09-14 0.001848 0.002251 0.002759 0.003461 0.004432 0.005768 0.007827
2025-09-21 0.001812 0.002221 0.002739 0.003463 0.004475 0.005888 0.008101
2025-09-28 0.001738 0.002138 0.002648 0.003364 0.004373 0.005793 0.008044
2025-10-05 0.001708 0.002112 0.002631 0.003366 0.004414 0.005908 0.008314
2025-10-12 0.001696 0.002109 0.002645 0.003412 0.004518 0.006119 0.008744
2025-10-19 0.001657 0.002069 0.002607 0.003383 0.004511 0.006163 0.008909
2025-10-26 0.001622 0.002034 0.002576 0.003362 0.004516 0.006223 0.009102
2025-11-02 0.001588 0.001999 0.002543 0.003337 0.004514 0.006273 0.009281
2025-11-09 0.001582 0.002002 0.002561 0.003387 0.004625 0.006501 0.009769